Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.366039 0.396476 0.429272 0.467409 0.510760 0.558769 0.616326
2025-01-05 0.300144 0.342585 0.392101 0.454973 0.533920 0.631533 0.764292
2025-01-12 0.252854 0.299151 0.356265 0.433627 0.538563 0.680643 0.896742
2025-01-19 0.220173 0.267382 0.328076 0.414468 0.539112 0.721252 1.027472
2025-01-26 0.204767 0.254878 0.321901 0.422086 0.576049 0.820194 1.280431
2025-02-02 0.196957 0.251002 0.326113 0.444010 0.637454 0.972779 1.695688
2025-02-09 0.185075 0.239941 0.318380 0.446136 0.666778 1.078226 2.076829
2025-02-16 0.172207 0.226121 0.304849 0.436751 0.673896 1.143245 2.405991
2025-02-23 0.163167 0.216997 0.297299 0.435794 0.695525 1.243962 2.906854
2025-03-02 0.153717 0.206462 0.286471 0.427673 0.701711 1.312712 3.375037
2025-03-09 0.145219 0.196727 0.276007 0.418794 0.704589 1.374766 3.889168
2025-03-16 0.137862 0.188235 0.266812 0.411043 0.708290 1.440470 4.506231
2025-03-23 0.133962 0.185140 0.266658 0.420822 0.753867 1.644573 6.203232
2025-03-30 0.126826 0.176585 0.256867 0.411555 0.755947 1.728760 7.499144
2025-04-06 0.118836 0.166228 0.243311 0.393599 0.734721 1.733601 8.310805
2025-04-13 0.111771 0.157000 0.231101 0.377134 0.714533 1.736390 9.201480
2025-04-20 0.108974 0.154539 0.230448 0.383823 0.753350 1.968515 13.750527
2025-04-27 0.108178 0.155290 0.235480 0.402875 0.829556 2.406937 27.686444
2025-05-04 0.105000 0.151845 0.232636 0.404727 0.859402 2.678118 48.008470
2025-05-11 0.100744 0.146344 0.225619 0.396595 0.858571 2.803446 72.130192
2025-05-18 0.097726 0.142810 0.222027 0.395766 0.879831 3.070793 155.178311
2025-05-25 0.094151 0.138141 0.215997 0.388716 0.880290 3.224109 326.153862
2025-06-01 0.090730 0.133589 0.209928 0.380999 0.877198 3.358706 891.675031